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Colombia

Total Emissions (MtCO₂e) 294.08
ND-GAIN Ranking 73rd
Share of Global Emissions (%) <1%

Emissions profile

Legend
Energy
39%
Waste
13%
Agriculture
25%
Industrial Processes
3%
LULUCF
20%

According to Climate Watch (2026), Colombia accounts for less than 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions, with about 294.08 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO₂e). The country ranks 33rd among the world's largest emitters. In per capita emissions, in that same year Colombia emitted approximately 6 tonnes of CO₂e per inhabitant (tCO₂e/inhabitant).

Regarding methane (CH₄) emissions, one of the most polluting GHGs, Colombia ranks 19th globally, with 3,799 kilotonnes (kt) released into the atmosphere in 2025 (IEA, 2026). Approximately 53% of CH₄ emissions come from domestic agriculture.

The energy sector is the largest contributor to emissions in Colombia, accounting for about 39% of total greenhouse gases (Climate Watch, 2026).

The sectoral breakdown of the Colombian economy is:

  1. Energy (39%) – 113.78 MtCO₂e;
  2. Agriculture (25%) – 74.18 MtCO₂e;
  3. Land use, land-use change and forestry – LULUCF (19%) – 57.22 MtCO₂e;
  4. Waste (13%) – 39.21 MtCO₂e;
  5. Industrial processes (3%) – 9.78 MtCO₂e.

Energy Mix

Legend
Coal
9%
Oil
41%
Natural gas
21%
Biomass/Bioenergy
14%
Hydropower
13%
Wind + Solar + Other
1%

Colombia's energy matrix is marked by the predominance of fossil fuels. According to data from the International Energy Agency (IEA, 2026), in 2025 about 72% of the country's total energy supply came from oil and oil products, natural gas, and coal and coal products. Colombia's total energy supply, of 1,826,167 TJ, was distributed as follows:

  1. Oil and oil products (41%) – 749,704 TJ;
  2. Natural gas (21%) – 391,220 TJ;
  3. Biofuels and waste (14%) – 251,981 TJ;
  4. Hydropower (13%) – 245,157 TJ;
  5. Coal and coal products (9%) – 171,442 TJ;
  6. Solar, wind and other renewables (1%) – 16,663 TJ.

Regarding electricity generation, Colombia ranks 26th out of 198 countries in terms of the share of renewable sources in its electricity mix (Climate Watch, 2026). According to the IEA, approximately 78% of the country's electricity is generated from renewable sources. Electricity generation is dominated by hydropower (72% – 68,099 GWh), followed by natural gas (13% – 12,527 GWh), coal (6% – 5,268 GWh), solar photovoltaic (5% – 4,473 GWh), oil (3% – 3,067 GWh), and biofuels (1% – 925 GWh). Wind contributed 154 GWh, less than 1% of the total (IEA, 2026).

According to the World Economic Forum (WEF, 2026), Colombia ranks 43rd globally on the Energy Transition Index (ETI) and fourth among Latin American countries, behind Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay.

Climate Ambition

Current status Third NDC (2025)
Last update DEC/2025
Net-Zero by 2050
Overall Climate Ambition Status
Insufficient

Latest updates

NDC 3.0: Transformaciones para la Vida

LAST UPDATED: DEC/2025. Colombia officially submitted its third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0) in September 2025, approved by the Comisión Intersectorial de Cambio Climático. Entitled "NDC 3.0: Transformaciones para la Vida," the text reaffirms climate action as a state policy and an ethical commitment to present and future generations. In December of the same year, the country sent the final version to the UNFCCC, with adjustments relative to the previous one.

The NDC incorporates cross-cutting approaches on gender, Indigenous peoples, Black communities and the peasantry, as well as adopting an intergenerational perspective, with attention to children and youth. The document also presents an approach grounded in climate justice, just transition, territorial equity, the guarantee of human rights, and building peace with nature.

For the first time, the document addresses the national loss-and-damage situation as a present-day reality that limits sustainable development, increases social and economic costs, and deepens social and territorial inequalities. In addition, the document highlights adaptation and climate finance agendas.

Colombia's NDC 3.0 also reinforces the need for inclusive climate action, connecting environmental policy with comprehensive rural reform, protection of the Amazon, environmental democracy with effective implementation of the Escazú Agreement, and the strengthening of popular and community economies.

Mitigation

  1. 2025
    NDC 3.0
  2. 169 MtCO₂e cap (previous NDC)
    2030
  3. 2035
    Emissions cap of 155–161 MtCO₂e
  4. Climate neutrality
    2050

On mitigation, NDC 3.0 sets a ceiling for Colombia's 2035 emissions, fixed between 155 and 161 MtCO₂e. This is an economy-wide target, covering the energy, industrial processes, waste, and agriculture, forestry and other land use sectors.

In this mitigation calculation, Colombia does not include the natural carbon absorption of its national natural forests, on the grounds that this capture occurs spontaneously, without additional human intervention. The NDC thus considers only emissions reductions and removals resulting from mitigation actions across the different sectors of the economy, including land use and forestry, and does not count passive natural absorption.

In addition, Colombia commits to reducing black carbon emissions—the soot generated by burning coal and wood, for example. The target is to mitigate between 6,100 and 8,800 tonnes of this pollutant, focusing on actions in the transport, construction and manufacturing industry, and agriculture sectors, particularly in controlling agricultural waste burning.

Another national priority is deforestation: the country aims to reduce the national rate to between 37,500 and 49,999 hectares per year by 2035. In the NDC, Colombia highlights that controlling deforestation links climate action with biodiversity conservation and the well-being of the communities that inhabit and care for the forests. The document also acknowledges the role of Indigenous territories in promoting sustainable forest management and the importance of consolidating their territorial rights.

In NDC 3.0, Colombia also reaffirms its goal of achieving climate neutrality by 2050, stressing that meeting it depends on adequate and predictable international financing, technology transfer and global cooperation, in line with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities (CBDR).

NDC Challenges and Criticism

Colombia's NDC has been praised for adopting a strong discourse on adaptation, as well as for including the dimensions of loss and damage and just transition (WRI, 2025). The emphasis on the "Peace with Nature" proposal is also recognized as an important symbolic and political advance, linking the climate agenda to the post-conflict context, environmental recovery and the government's project of building a "World Power of Life."

Even so, NDC 3.0 faces criticism regarding its level of ambition and effective implementation capacity. According to the Climate Action Tracker (CAT, 2025) analysis, Colombia's target is not aligned with a pathway compatible with the 1.5°C limit and is rated "Insufficient" for the Paris Agreement. This means that if all countries adopted targets with the same level of ambition, global warming could exceed 2°C over the course of the century.

The CAT analyzes Colombia's targets for 2030, 2035 and 2050. Although the 2035 target is slightly more ambitious than the 2030 target in absolute terms—moving from an emissions ceiling of 169 MtCO₂e in 2030 to up to 155 MtCO₂e in 2035—it is still insufficient to put the country on a pathway compatible with climate neutrality by 2050 and with the 1.5°C goal by the end of the century.

Finally, the NDC itself acknowledges that Colombia's main challenge lies not only in setting targets but in their implementation. The CAT assessment confirms this concern, indicating that current and planned policies are not sufficient to achieve the 2035 target, which requires scaling up the implementation of climate action, both through domestic measures and international support.

Long-Term Strategy (LTS)

Colombia has a greenhouse gas emissions neutrality target for 2050, established in its NDC and incorporated into national law through the Climate Action Law (Law 2169/2021). In the same year, the country submitted its Long-Term Carbon Neutrality Strategy (E2050) to the UNFCCC.

The E2050 seeks to align climate action with inclusive socioeconomic development, emphasizing that mitigation and adaptation must advance together with prosperity, territorial peace, and social justice. According to the document, to do what science indicates is necessary to limit warming to 1.5°C–2°C, Colombia will need to reduce around 90% of its GHG emissions by 2050 compared with 2015 levels, offsetting the remaining 10% through domestic removals in order to achieve net-zero emissions. To do so, the country will need to reach peak emissions before 2030 and begin a sustained downward trajectory (Colombia, 2024).

The core of the strategy is diversification of the energy mix, with rapid expansion of renewable sources such as solar, wind, and biomass, gradual reduction of dependence on coal, and, in the medium term, a decline in the importance of oil in the economy. The preservation of natural ecosystems is also treated as a key element, both for carbon capture and for climate resilience, with priority given to curbing deforestation in the Colombian Amazon and restoring degraded areas.

The transition is presented as a process that must be fair and inclusive, with policies for reskilling and the creation of green jobs for affected communities. The strategy also emphasizes the importance of international climate finance, technological cooperation, and mobilizing private investment to make the necessary structural transformation possible. In this context, Colombia seeks to position itself as a regional climate leader, combining environmental ambition with a reduction in internal inequalities.

The Climate Action Tracker (CAT, 2025) classifies the E2050 as “acceptable.” The strategy has legal status and presents transparency in its drafting process. The document includes different development scenarios based on variations in economic growth, population dynamics, transport electrification costs, renewable energy expansion, and carbon capture technologies, as well as the impacts of climate change on the country’s hydrological systems. It also presents a set of actions and technological choices to promote decarbonization of the economy. However, the E2050 still allows for the continued presence of fossil fuels in Colombia’s energy mix throughout the transition.

Just Transition

In negotiations on the Just Transition Work Programme (JTWP), Colombia has taken a strong position, arguing that the transition away from fossil fuels must be specific and equitable, and carried out in a just and orderly manner (Política Por Inteiro, 2025).

Internationally, under the government of Gustavo Petro (2022–2026), Colombia took an active stance on phasing out fossil fuels, aligning itself with the international alliance for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty (The Guardian, 2023) and hosting the First International Conference on the Transition Away from Fossil Fuels (Fossil Fuel Treaty, 2025).

In 2024, the Ministry of Mines and Energy prepared the document “Diagnóstico Base para la Transición Energética Justa”, which sets out the guiding principles for the country’s just energy transition. This policy is structured around four pillars:

  1. Equity and democratization, aimed at promoting social, environmental, and energy justice, with greater respect for ecosystems, a fairer distribution of benefits, and participation in decision-making;
  2. Graduality, sovereignty, and reliability, focused on the progressive replacement of the energy mix with cleaner and more efficient sources, while ensuring supply and national energy security;
  3. Binding social participation, which guarantees the effective involvement of communities historically affected by the mining sector and by the transition itself;
  4. Knowledge-intensive transition, which seeks to promote reindustrialization and agricultural development, create new economic opportunities, and move beyond the extractivist model.

Continuing this work on a just energy transition, Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy launched the “Hoja de Ruta para la Transición Energética Justa de Colombia” in 2025. The document stresses that justice is the backbone of the energy transition and that the proposal goes beyond technology, forming a national project that coordinates government policies and involves all sectors of society and the economy.

This Colombian roadmap also stresses that the just energy transition must strengthen the differentiated implementation of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources (FNCER), promote efficient management of energy demand, and reduce social and economic inequalities. Although the transition requires profound technological change, it also encompasses economic, social and environmental dimensions essential to ensuring equity and justice.

Colombia's NDC 3.0 also highlights Just Transition and Climate Justice as structuring principles, proposing an inclusive socioeconomic shift in which decarbonization generates decent employment, social cohesion and territorial equity. To strengthen its capacities, the country is already implementing labor reconversion, technical training and professionalization programs in strategic sectors such as renewable energy, energy efficiency, sustainable agriculture and the circular economy. It has also been promoting "social dialogues" with representatives from different sectors of Colombian society.

Adaptation Plans

Colombia’s climate adaptation policies are organized around the National Climate Change Adaptation Plan (PNACC), adopted in 2016, which sets out strategic guidelines to reduce vulnerabilities in key sectors such as water resources, agriculture, health, infrastructure, and ecosystem conservation. Updated to align with the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the PNACC seeks to integrate adaptation into regional development policies and the implementation of the Peace Agreement, given the link between environmental degradation and territorial conflict.

Priority measures include protecting watersheds, restoring strategic ecosystems such as páramos, mangroves, and Amazon forests, strengthening food security, promoting sustainable soil management, and preventing risks in urban and coastal areas. Major cities such as Bogotá, Medellín, and Cartagena are already developing urban adaptation plans, with a focus on stormwater drainage, sanitation, resilient housing, and landslide risk reduction.

The country also has the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM), which operates climate and disaster-risk monitoring systems and provides data for public policy, territorial planning, and resilient infrastructure. These systems help anticipate the impacts of droughts, floods, and landslides, strengthening climate governance at different levels of government.

Colombia’s new NDC also highlights adaptation as a priority measure, setting out eight focus areas: biodiversity and ecosystem services, water resources, food security and agricultural production, health, infrastructure, disaster risk management, cultural heritage, and housing.

Climate Vulnerability and Risk

ND-GAIN Ranking 73rd

Score: 50.5

0.416

Resilience index

A higher score indicates a high level of readiness
Temperature increase between 1.6°C and 2.1°C

by 2050

0.407

Vulnerability index

A higher score indicates a high level of vulnerability

Main climate threats

More intense heat waves
Prolonged droughts
Recurring floods
Tropical storms
Rapid loss of biodiversity

Colombia is the second most biodiverse country in the world, with Andean mountain ranges, Amazon rainforest, plains, and extensive coastal areas across its territory. This exposes the country to a range of climate risks. More frequent and intense rainfall causes floods and landslides in mountainous regions and urban centers, while severe droughts affect agriculture and water availability in places such as La Guajira and the Llanos Orientales. A significant share of the population lives in areas exposed to extreme events. Coastal cities such as Cartagena and Tumaco face erosion and sea-level rise, while dense Andean cities such as Bogotá and Medellín deal with hydrometeorological risks and landslides (Colombia, 2020; World Bank, 2024).

According to the ND-GAIN Index, Colombia ranks 73rd among 190 countries, reflecting significant vulnerability. The World Bank (2024) warns that these changes represent barriers to sustainable development and widen inequalities, affecting mainly poor rural and urban populations.

The main climate threats include more intense heat waves, prolonged droughts, recurring floods, tropical storms, and the rapid loss of biodiversity. The country is experiencing severe deforestation in the Amazon and the Andes, driven by cattle ranching, illegal mining, illicit crops, and agricultural expansion, which undermines ecosystem services and increases its greenhouse gas emissions.

Urban infrastructure is also highly vulnerable. Urban areas such as Bogotá experience flooding and landslides, while coastal zones face erosion and salinization due to sea-level rise. World Bank projections (2023) indicate that average temperatures could rise by between 1.6°C and 2.1°C by 2050, with greater rainfall irregularity: some regions will face more intense flooding and others, such as La Guajira, severe droughts, affecting agriculture and food security.

Climate impacts also affect the population unevenly. The most vulnerable communities include Indigenous peoples, Afro-descendants, small farmers, and fishers, who depend directly on natural resources and have low adaptive capacity. Poverty, social inequality, and the lack of adequate infrastructure intensify risks and limit adaptation options.

This is, therefore, a case of double vulnerability: social fragility combined with environmental fragility. Climate change not only threatens Colombia’s environmental and economic stability, but will also deepen historical inequalities, amounting to a process of climate injustice that disproportionately affects the country’s most marginalized groups.